Fantasy Football Stats 2010
Fantasy Football Stats 2010
Stats are the meat and potatoes of fantasy football. No matter what kind of fantasy football league you’re in, head-to-head or rotisserie, IDP or team defense, you’ll need to have a good understanding of football stats to be a champion fantasy league owner.
Having a passing knowledge of the NFL and of the rules of football is enough to own a fantasy team, but it is rarely enough to become a league champion. The average casual football fan can tell you the QBs of most of the teams, and maybe they know who scored the most TDs last season, but their understanding of statistics in football is extremely limited, so their ability to draft, to put together a starting roster, and to win in fantasy football is limited. It isn’t all about who scores the most TDs. There are plenty of football statistics that can inform your draft and roster selections, many of them not even categories that score points in fantasy football.
Five Statistics You Need to Understand
As I said above, it isn’t all about scoring touchdowns. Finding draft sleepers is essential to fantasy success, and you can’t figure out who the sleepers are without an understanding of some deeper stats than just rush yards and PATs.
1. Yards After Contact (YACo)
This is the total number of yards a player earned after any initial contact. It is the holy grail to many fantasy owners — the stat they rank their RBs by and how they find their sleepers.
You want a RB that can take a hit and keep pushing for yardage, right? That’s why YACo is such an important stat — it singles out the RBs who provide extra value.
2. Yards After Contact Percentage (YACo%)
This is the percentage of a player’s total yards that took place after contact. This is an even better stat to look at when looking for RB sleepers, as it generally predicts whether a RB is trending up or down between seasons.
For instance, look at this list of the top players in terms of YACo% from 2009.
- Chris Johnson 1071
- Steven Jackson 954
- Maurice Jones-Drew 930
- Adrian Peterson 915
- Ryan Grant 774
- Cedric Benson 774
- Jonathan Stewart 740
- Ray Rice 719
- Rashard Mendenhall 717
- Fred Jackson 708
See the names “Rashard Mendenhall” and “Jonathan Stewart” on that list? That’s how many fantasy football experts figured out that Mendenhall and Stewart should go much higher on the draft board in 2010 than they did in 2009. It really is that simple.
3. Carries Inside Opponents’ 10 and Carries Inside Opponents’ 5 (CIn10 and CIn5)
Understanding this stat means knowing how frequently a particular running back carries the ball inside the “red zone”. The reason why you need to know both the 10 yard and 5 yard line is that you can guage how much trust the player’s team has in his ability to score TDs close to the goal line. This can give you a good idea how many shots at TD points a given RD will have.
4. Yards per Target (YPT)
The old “yards per catch” stat is pretty much dead. A better stat to look into when considering your WR draft board is the YPT stat. Yards per target is an average of the number of yards a WR got versus how many chances that WR had to catch the ball. YPT includes successful and unsuccessful pass plays, which gives you a better idea of a WR’s fantasy value.
5. Adjusted Net Yards Per Attempt (ANYPA)
This is like a QB rating on steroids — the old QB rating system is outmoded and produces a number with decimal places that is essentially meaningless to most football fans. Yes, ANYPA is a more complicated equation than other football stats, but it produces a better idea of a QB’s fantasy value than the old QB rating system.
ANYPA = (pass yards – sack yards – 45*INTs + 20*TDs) divided by pass attempts + sacks
Let’s look at the top ten QBs last season in terms of their ANYPA rating.
Drew Brees 8.3
Philip Rivers 8.3
Brett Favre 7.6
Tony Romo 7.5
Peyton Manning 7.5
Aaron Rodgers 7.5
Matt Schaub 7.4
Tom Brady 7.4
Ben R’lisberger 7.1
Eli Manning 6.9
You’ll notice right off the bat that the ANYPA rating is easier to read than the QB rating — obviously, the closer a QB gets to perfection, the closer they get to the number 10. One downside for the ANYPA rating is the fact that it doesn’t take into account the QBs rushing ability, but to figure out who is the best overall passer in the league, use ANYPA.
You don’t have to be a number crunching, statistics keeping, mathematical genius to success in fantasy football. I’m sure it is entirely possible to draft a team by picking randomly from the top available players or just drawing names from a hat. But if you want to guarantee increased success in your fantasy ventures, look at the little known metrics stats for football and pick accordingly.
This entry was posted on Friday, September 24th, 2010 at 5:58 amand is filed under Fantasy Football. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.